Up to Very low likelihood
Properties in BL2 2DF sit in the Environment Agency's Very low flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 0 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 1 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a very low-likelihood area has less than a 3% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 81 m above sea level and falls 34 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the west-north-west, 17.0 m higher.
Because properties in the very low likelihood band; 1 recorded flood nearby; 56 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around BL2 2DF. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1980 | RTON | ~0.6 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
Ciara (2020, 6 warnings nearby) · Bert (2024, 4 warnings nearby) · Christoph (2021, 3 warnings nearby) · Fergus (2023, 2 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threadfold Way | Eagley Brook | 3.2 km | 2.20 m | 1.71 m |
| Farnworth | River Croal | 3.7 km | 1.00 m | 1.83 m |
| Bessy Brook | Bessy Brook | 5.3 km | 1.08 m | 1.78 m |
| Kearsley | River Irwell | 5.3 km | 4.05 m | 6.33 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turner Bridge Cso | River Tonge | 0.1 km | 47 (2024) | 39 |
| Tonge Moor Rd Cso | River Tonge | 0.2 km | 2 (2024) | 5 |
| Entwistle St Cso | River Tonge | 0.3 km | 0 (2024) | 0 |
| Darley Street Cso (079kl) | River Tonge Via A Surface Water Sewer | 0.3 km | 0 (2024) | 0 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
18 mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m — nearest ~52 m (natural high ground). Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near BL2 2DF — all in the BL2 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the BL2 district.