Live river monitoring3 prediction modelsPersonal flood alertsThe wider water picture
Make the picture yours
A postcode. A whole water picture.
The nearest rivers. Official warnings nearby. Reported overflow activity. Start with a place you care about.
Take a look around
The preview brings together nearby monitoring. It does not assess the flood risk of an individual building.
⌖Every river has a neighbourhood.
Find the signals around yours.
Storm Chaser & flood animations
A storm is a story. Watch it unfold.
Wind back the clock. Watch rainfall arrive, rivers respond and a peak move downstream. Our replays connect the numbers to what happened on the ground.
Your catchment, in motionIllustrative 48-hour example
Rain upstreamA rise downstream.
Explore how the signals connect in our animated storm example.
Show layers
Before the rain24 hours48 hours
Why pay attention now?
A changing climate. A more informed you.
El Niño is back. And the UK is part of the picture.
The Met Office’s August 2026 outlook points to increased chances of wetter, stormier conditions in the UK this autumn and early winter. The World Meteorological Organization expects El Niño to strengthen, with effects continuing into 2027.
That is a reason to follow the local picture closely. A seasonal outlook cannot tell you whether your street will flood. Rainfall, river levels and conditions in your catchment help fill in that picture.
Bring the signals together. See how your river is behaving, what’s happening upstream, and what else could be affecting the places you care about.
Get the heads-up that matters to you.
Follow your area and set station alerts. Choose a water level to watch and receive email or supported browser push notifications when your alert conditions are met.
FloodRadarExample alert
Example alert: your threshold is reached
Example reading: 1.82 m. Your chosen alert level: 1.60 m.
Example river level1.82 m
Your alert level1.60 m
Example threshold reached
Move the slider. This example sends no notifications.
Coverage and update times vary by source and location. Sewage reports indicate discharge activity, not a water-quality or swimming-safety test. About our data
Look ahead
Three models. More perspective.
Compare different views of what your river could do next. Understand the direction, the uncertainty, and where the models disagree.
One river. Different possible paths.Illustrative model comparison · not a live forecast
Prediction V2 Eris Nimbus
A range of outcomes helps show uncertainty. A prediction is an estimate, never a guarantee.
Prediction V2
1–48 hours
Our ML Outlook model estimates level changes using recent readings, rainfall and neighbouring station signals.
Eris
24–72 hours
A second view of flood probability, risk and river-level projections, helping you compare the outlook.
Nimbus Beta
1–72 hours
Brings soil moisture, groundwater, river flow and catchment characteristics into an experimental outlook.
Explore a real storm, compare its fingerprint, look beneath the ground and check what a prediction got right.
Recorded event · October 2023
Babet. One river, two different peak times.
The Met Office issued a red rain warning on 18 October. As the storm unfolded, the Derwent rose at Matlock, then reached its recorded peak downstream at Church Wilne.
A storm leaves a pattern across the river network. Compare the same gauges in two recorded storms, then see how rainfall and river responses agree—or differ.
A resemblance score is not a probability of flooding. Fewer than 12 shared gauges means there is no score.
Uses FloodRadar’s existing similarity calculation and published fingerprint index, built 10 July 2026. Colours show each peak as a percentage of the reference record used by that archive.
Interactive explanation
The ground remembers the rain.
Rain falling onto already wet ground can behave very differently. Change the rainfall and starting wetness to explore why FloodRadar looks beyond the river itself.
Conceptual cross-section · not a specific location
No rainMore rain
Drier groundAlready saturated
Wet ground has less room for more rain.
Less water can soak into the soil, so more may move over the surface towards drains and rivers.
Soaking inRunning off
This simplified illustration explains a mechanism. It does not calculate a flood level, represent measured soil saturation or predict a sewage discharge. Explore the actual catchment signals and monitoring sources.
Recorded forecasts · 4–5 September 2026
What did the river actually do?
Compare earlier ML Outlook forecasts with the readings that followed at A6 Bridge on the River Brock. Change the lead time to see where the predictions stayed close and where they missed.
The shaded spread, when enabled, shows different earlier forecasts for the same hour. It is not a calibrated confidence interval; historical intervals are unavailable in this public extract.
Mean absolute error in this sample0.32 cm
24 matched hourly checks · 3-hour lead time
144 forecast / reading pairs
A dated sample of one station and six lead times. It is not a site-wide accuracy rating.
Each value was forecast before its target time. Observations are matched within 30 minutes. Missing readings are excluded.
How this comparison is made
At each of 24 hourly checkpoints, we retain the forecast whose target is closest to the start of that hour for each lead time. We pair it with the nearest recorded observation within 30 minutes, then calculate the absolute difference. Mean absolute error is the average of those differences for the selected lead time.
This is a recorded example from one river during one day. Performance can differ during rapid rises, at other stations and over longer lead times. The full spread compares forecasts issued at different times; it does not describe a probability distribution.
A clearer picture of a place.Before you make it your home.
Illustrative property
Property flood-risk reports
Know more about the place that matters.
Buying, renting, or simply understanding your own home?
Bring flood-risk information and local history into one readable report. Start with a postcode, explore the free preview, then decide whether to unlock the full report.
River, sea and surface-water risk information
Recorded flooding and nearby warning history
Local river behaviour and monitored sewage overflows
Full risk layers cover England; Scotland and Wales have river-gauge sections only. Coverage varies. A report is not a property survey or insurance assessment.
Explore before you buy
What would a report tell you?
Open a chapter to see the questions it answers, then explore the full sample for York, YO1 9QL.
The spill figure is an annual reported total, not the number of discharges happening now. The forecast pairs belong to the dated example on Why FloodRadar; they are not a site-wide accuracy count.
7 input families in Nimbus. Each becomes numerical features that help the model recognise patterns. These are the ingredients behind a prediction:
River-level history
Observed rainfall
Soil moisture
Groundwater
River flow
Catchment characteristics
Season & time of day
Eris uses 14 individual features, including rates of rise, time spent at elevated levels, observed rainfall and an upstream signal. The models use different inputs; coverage varies by location. More inputs do not guarantee a better forecast.
Public-site coverage snapshot: 5 September 2026. These figures describe our datasets and model capabilities, rather than the number of sensors reporting at this instant. Refresh intervals and availability vary by feed.
¹ The groundwater explorer showed 665 of 3,610 boreholes with coordinates and a reading in the preceding 30 days. The rainfall catalogue contained 2,060 gauges; 1,065 appeared in its current feed.
The sewage map includes both live-feed and annual-report coverage. A listed site does not mean a discharge is happening. ² The 91M+ readings figure is the previously published rounded archive total, not a new count.
Approximate dataset sizes, checked 5 September 2026. These illustrations are schematic; they show no specific property or risk boundary. Sources, licences and coverage.
Make it local
Start with the places you care about.
Your home. Your family’s street. The river you walk beside.
1
Find your area
Explore the map and get to know your nearby rivers and monitoring stations.
If you’ve been flooded, you don’t need it described. The water comes up through the floor and the doorways at once. Then come the months that nobody photographs: the drying, the stripping-out, the forms, the smell, and the small lurch in your stomach every time it starts to rain.
When the worst had passed, we were left with one question: why here, and why then? The rain that flooded us had mostly fallen somewhere else, on hills miles upstream, hours earlier. The river had carried it to our door. We wanted to understand how those events connected.
So we started reading. The Environment Agency publishes a remarkable amount of open data: river gauges, rainfall records and flood histories. We taught ourselves to read the river, and FloodRadar is what we built to make that clearer for everyone else, too.
It began with our own home. It grew into a way to share what the data shows, and help other people understand the water around the places they care about.
How we fit alongside official warnings
FloodRadar is an independent service, adding context, history and experimental insights to the official picture. Official flood warnings and local emergency advice always take precedence. Our models and alerts support your understanding; they do not replace that advice.