Up to Low likelihood
Properties in TN27 9JD sit in the Environment Agency's Low flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 2 | 2 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a low-likelihood area has a 2–22% chance of flooding at least once.
TN27 9JD gets about 693 mm of rain a year on average (wettest month November, 80 mm; driest July, 40 mm). That is 40% drier than the UK as a whole, which averages 1,163 mm a year.
A thirty-year average for the surrounding area, not a measurement at this address and not a flood risk on its own: a dry area floods when a storm sits over it, and a wet one may drain away perfectly well. Source: Met Office HadUK-Grid 1991–2020 (5 km grid), 1.8 km away. Average rainfall: HadUK-Grid v1.3.2, Met Office. Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
Because properties in the low likelihood band; 3 recorded floods nearby; 42 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around TN27 9JD. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2013 | 07302C200_Dec2013_Medway_Eden_Teise_Beult | ~17.0 km |
| Oct 2000 | 07302C300_OCT2000_Beult | ~7.8 km |
| Nov 1960 | 07302C200_NOV1960_Beult_Headcorn_Smarden | ~0.7 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
Chandra (2026, 2 warnings nearby) · Henk (2024, 2 warnings nearby) · Herminia (2025, 1 warnings nearby) · Conall (2024, 1 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarden | River Beult | 3.3 km | 3.06 m | 4.16 m |
| Stilebridge | River Beult | 10.0 km | 3.48 m | 3.73 m |
| Brown Mill | Great Stour | 11.6 km | 0.75 m | 1.92 m |
| BROWN MILL USGS | — | 11.6 km | — | — |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Headcorn Waste Water Station | Freshwater River | 2.1 km | 48 (2024) | 464 |
| Sewage Drain, Smarden | Freshwater River | 2.1 km | 19 (2024) | 242 |
| Frittenden Wwtw | Maplehurst Stream | 3.1 km | 25 (2024) | 277 |
| Smarden Wastewater Treatment Works | The River Beult | 3.4 km | 68 (2024) | 1,091 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near TN27 9JD — all in the TN27 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the TN27 district.