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Paglesham Eastend, Essex
Up to High likelihood
Properties in SS4 2ED sit in the Environment Agency's High flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 4 | 4 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 2 | 2 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a high-likelihood area has at least a 57% chance of flooding at least once.
SS4 2ED gets about 526 mm of rain a year on average (wettest month October, 58 mm; driest March, 32 mm). That is 55% drier than the UK as a whole, which averages 1,163 mm a year.
A thirty-year average for the surrounding area, not a measurement at this address and not a flood risk on its own: a dry area floods when a storm sits over it, and a wet one may drain away perfectly well. Source: Met Office HadUK-Grid 1991–2020 (5 km grid), 1.2 km away. Average rainfall: HadUK-Grid v1.3.2, Met Office. Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
The river map has no watercourse within 1 km of the centre of SS4 2ED.
That means this spot is not on the river map, not that there is no water here: Ordnance Survey’s river map (OS Open Rivers) leaves out small streams, ditches and culverts. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2026.
Because properties in the high likelihood band; 3 recorded flood outlines mapped nearby; 242 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around SS4 2ED. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Mapped flood extent | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1968 | 1968 September Flood Outline | ~52.4 km |
| Jun 1958 | 1958 Flood Outline | ~19.2 km |
| Jan 1953 | 1953 Coast Flood Outline Essex | ~13.0 km |
These are extents the Environment Agency has mapped, not a list of every flood. Records, not floods: no outline on the record is not evidence a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 13 warnings nearby) ▶ replay it here · Franklin (2022, 3 warnings nearby) ▶ replay it here · Caroline (2017, 2 warnings nearby) ▶ replay it here · Ciara (2020, 2 warnings nearby) ▶ replay it here
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paglesham East | Trib River Roach | 1.1 km | 0 (2024) | 0 |
| Paglesham West Terminal Ps | Stannets Creek Brook | 1.2 km | 28 (2024) | 350 |
| Paglesham Churchend Sps | Trib Paglesham Creek | 1.9 km | 43 (2024) | 519 |
| Burnham On Crouch Wrc | The River Crouch (tidal) | 3.6 km | 36 (2024) | 138 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near SS4 2ED — all in the SS4 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Place names: Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring (England); live overflow status © the water companies, incl. Dŵr Cymru Welsh Water and Scottish Water. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the SS4 district.