Up to Medium likelihood
Properties in CA4 9TP sit in the Environment Agency's Medium flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 1 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 0 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a medium-likelihood area has a 22–57% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 139 m above sea level and falls 60 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the west-south-west, 35.2 m higher.
Because properties in the medium likelihood band; 6 recorded floods nearby; 187 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around CA4 9TP. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2020 | Storm Ciara 09_02_2020 | ~28.9 km |
| Jul 2002 | Flooding 30_07_2002 | ~12.3 km |
| Feb 2002 | Flooding 01_02_2002 | ~50.4 km |
| Oct 2001 | Flooding 08_10_2001 | ~11.3 km |
| Oct 2000 | Flooding 28_10_2000 | ~13.6 km |
| Jan 2000 | Flooding 11_01_2000 | ~28.0 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
Desmond (2015, 6 warnings nearby) · 2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 5 warnings nearby) · Isha (2024, 2 warnings nearby) · Ciara (2020, 2 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newbiggin Bridge | River Petteril | 11.2 km | 1.50 m | 2.85 m |
| Stockdalewath | Roe Beck | 12.6 km | 1.00 m | 3.31 m |
| Great Corby | River Eden | 12.9 km | 3.36 m | 5.83 m |
| White House Gardens, Penrith | Thacka Beck | 13.4 km | 0.90 m | 1.51 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Flats Cso 171u1 | River Eden | 3.0 km | 5 (2024) | 2 |
| Armathwaite Wwtw | River Eden | 3.2 km | 146 (2024) | 147 |
| Ainstable Wastewater Treatment Work | Powsy Sike, Trib River Eden | 3.6 km | 9 (2024) | 14 |
| Kirkoswald Stw | Trib River Eden | 4.0 km | 27 (2024) | 46 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near CA4 9TP — all in the CA4 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the CA4 district.