Up to High likelihood
Properties in CA4 9PH sit in the Environment Agency's High flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 1 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 2 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a high-likelihood area has at least a 57% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 53 m above sea level and falls 80 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the north-west, 71.2 m higher.
Because properties in the high likelihood band; 6 recorded floods nearby; 189 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around CA4 9PH. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2020 | Storm Ciara 09_02_2020 | ~31.1 km |
| Feb 2020 | Armathwaite Storm Ciara 2020 | ~0.1 km |
| Dec 2015 | Armathwaite 05_12_2015 | ~0.4 km |
| Nov 2009 | Armathwaite November 2009 flooding | ~0.4 km |
| Jan 2005 | Armathwaite Castle 08_01_2005 | ~0.1 km |
| Jul 2002 | Flooding 30_07_2002 | ~15.0 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
Desmond (2015, 8 warnings nearby) · 2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 5 warnings nearby) · Isha (2024, 2 warnings nearby) · Ciara (2020, 2 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newbiggin Bridge | River Petteril | 8.8 km | 1.50 m | 2.85 m |
| Great Corby | River Eden | 10.1 km | 3.36 m | 5.83 m |
| Hynam Bridge | River Gelt | 11.2 km | 0.74 m | 3.15 m |
| Warwick Bridge | Trout Beck | 11.3 km | 0.50 m | 1.84 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Flats Cso 171u1 | River Eden | 0.2 km | 5 (2024) | 2 |
| Armathwaite Wwtw | River Eden | 0.6 km | 146 (2024) | 147 |
| Ainstable Wastewater Treatment Work | Powsy Sike, Trib River Eden | 2.2 km | 9 (2024) | 14 |
| Low Hesket Ps | Barrock Gill | 4.2 km | 33 (2024) | 168 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near CA4 9PH — all in the CA4 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the CA4 district.