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Up to Low likelihood
Properties in BL9 9QA sit in the Environment Agency's Low flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 11 | 11 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a low-likelihood area has a 2–22% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 70 m above sea level and falls 18 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the north-east, 8.8 m higher.
Because properties in the low likelihood band; 6 recorded floods nearby; 240 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around BL9 9QA. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2020 | Redvales | ~0.7 km |
| Dec 2015 | Radcliffe and Redvales | ~0.6 km |
| Jun 2012 | ea01313_22_June_2012_MorrisStreet | ~0.8 km |
| Jan 2008 | EA01313_21 January 2008_Crow Trees Farm Brook_Redv | ~1.2 km |
| Jan 2008 | EA01327_21 January 2008_River Roch_Blackford Bridg | ~0.8 km |
| Jan 2008 | EA01313_21 January 2008_River Irwell_Redvales | ~0.4 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
Ciara (2020, 11 warnings nearby) · Christoph (2021, 8 warnings nearby) · Bert (2024, 6 warnings nearby) · Brian (2017, 5 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackford Bridge | River Roch | 1.3 km | 2.45 m | 3.36 m |
| Pioneer Mills | River Irwell | 2.1 km | 3.70 m | 5.92 m |
| Bury Ground | River Irwell | 2.4 km | 1.50 m | 2.18 m |
| Kearsley | River Irwell | 5.9 km | 4.05 m | 6.33 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redvales Road Cso | River Irwell Via Culvert | 0.6 km | 0 (2024) | 0 |
| Morris Street Cso (bry0137) | River Irwell | 0.8 km | 0 (2024) | 0 |
| Dumers Lane Pumping Station | River Irwell | 0.9 km | 1 (2024) | 4 |
| Waterside Mill Cso | River Irwell | 1.0 km | 3 (2024) | 7 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
24 mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m — nearest ~199 m (natural high ground, wall, demountable defence). Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near BL9 9QA — all in the BL9 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Place names: Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the BL9 district.