Up to Medium likelihood
Properties in PO15 5BA sit in the Environment Agency's Medium flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 2 | 2 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a medium-likelihood area has a 22–57% chance of flooding at least once.
PO15 5BA gets about 835 mm of rain a year on average (wettest month November, 102 mm; driest May, 47 mm). That is 28% drier than the UK as a whole, which averages 1,163 mm a year.
A thirty-year average for the surrounding area, not a measurement at this address and not a flood risk on its own: a dry area floods when a storm sits over it, and a wet one may drain away perfectly well. Source: Met Office HadUK-Grid 1991–2020 (5 km grid), 1.3 km away. Average rainfall: HadUK-Grid v1.3.2, Met Office. Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
The ground here sits at about 21 m above sea level and falls 25 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the west-south-west, 5.0 m higher.
The river map has no watercourse within 1 km of the centre of PO15 5BA.
That means this spot is not on the river map, not that there is no water here: Ordnance Survey’s river map (OS Open Rivers) leaves out small streams, ditches and culverts. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2026.
Because properties in the medium likelihood band; 1 recorded flood outline mapped nearby; 336 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around PO15 5BA. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Mapped flood extent | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2000 | 06/11/2000_River Meon_Aerial(42) | ~1.6 km |
These are extents the Environment Agency has mapped, not a list of every flood. Records, not floods: no outline on the record is not evidence a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 70 warnings nearby) ▶ replay it here · Eunice (2022, 8 warnings nearby) ▶ replay it here · Barra (2021, 7 warnings nearby) ▶ replay it here · Henk (2024, 7 warnings nearby) ▶ replay it here
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titchfield | River Meon | 2.4 km | 2.00 m | 2.35 m |
| NORTH FAREHAM GS | — | 2.4 km | — | — |
| Titchfield Canal | River Meon | 2.4 km | 2.80 m | 2.80 m |
| Wickham | River Meon | 4.6 km | 19.30 m | 20.00 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arundel Drive Fareham Cso | Trib Of Portsmouth Harbour | 0.6 km | 14 (2025) | 18 |
| The Gillies Fareham Cso | Blackbrook Stream | 1.1 km | 11 (2025) | 32 |
| Redlands Lane Fareham Cso | Black Brook | 1.3 km | 5 (2025) | 12 |
| Cotswold Walk Cso | Hoeford Stream | 1.6 km | 0 (2025) | 0 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
Flooded here before? Log it and see what your floods had in common.
At-risk postcodes near PO15 5BA — all in the PO15 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring (England); live overflow status © the water companies, incl. Dŵr Cymru Welsh Water and Scottish Water. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the PO15 district.