Up to Medium likelihood
Properties in DN21 5BQ sit in the Environment Agency's Medium flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 0 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a medium-likelihood area has a 22–57% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 9 m above sea level and falls 11 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the east-south-east, 2.8 m higher.
Because properties in the medium likelihood band; 6 recorded floods nearby; 223 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around DN21 5BQ. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2020 | 2020 February Flood Incident - Storm Dennis | ~50.0 km |
| Nov 2019 | 2019 November Flood Incident | ~42.2 km |
| Mar 1947 | Tidal Trent March 1947 DNL | ~2.8 km |
| Mar 1947 | Tidal Trent 1947 | ~4.6 km |
| Mar 1947 | Tidal Trent March 1947 | ~4.1 km |
| Mar 1947 | LNA_1947_March_Tidal Trent | ~1.4 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
2007 UK floods (2007, 11 warnings nearby) · 2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 5 warnings nearby) · Henk (2024, 4 warnings nearby) · Chandra (2026, 2 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Squires Bridge | River Till | 4.4 km | 2.87 m | 4.34 m |
| Torksey | River Trent | 5.6 km | 4.65 m | 7.42 m |
| Fosdyke Jetty | Fosdyke Canal | 15.6 km | 1.90 m | 2.43 m |
| Brayford Pool | River Witham | 16.0 km | 0.79 m | 1.36 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willingham(lincs) Stw | River Till River Witham Nt | 2.4 km | 54 (2024) | 291 |
| Kexby Pumping Station | Unnamed Dyke Leading Padmoor D | 2.7 km | 3 (2024) | 29 |
| Sturton By Stow Stw | Sturton Beck River Till Nt | 3.9 km | 32 (2024) | 235 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near DN21 5BQ — all in the DN21 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the DN21 district.