Bexley, Greater London
Up to Medium likelihood
Properties in DA5 3ES sit in the Environment Agency's Medium flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 9 | 9 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 1 | 1 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a medium-likelihood area has a 22–57% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 22 m above sea level and falls 15 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the west-north-west, 14.0 m higher.
Because properties in the medium likelihood band; 2 recorded floods nearby; 254 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around DA5 3ES. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1977 | 07337E300_AUG1977_River Cray_Old Bexley/St Mary's | ~2.0 km |
| Sep 1968 | 07337E200_SEPT1968_Cray_Dartford | ~1.9 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 21 warnings nearby) · Henk (2024, 4 warnings nearby) · Dennis (2020, 4 warnings nearby) · St Jude storm 2013 (2013, 2 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamorbey Park | Shuttle Tributary Cray | 0.6 km | 1.00 m | 2.33 m |
| Hall Place | River Cray | 2.6 km | 0.75 m | 1.35 m |
| Crayford | River Cray | 3.7 km | 0.90 m | 1.32 m |
| CRAYFORD GS | — | 3.7 km | — | — |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Road | Freshwater River | 3.2 km | 55 (2024) | 153 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
13 mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m — nearest ~22 m (embankment, natural high ground). Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near DA5 3ES — all in the DA5 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Place names: Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the DA5 district.