Up to Medium likelihood
Properties in PO33 4RN sit in the Environment Agency's Medium flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 3 | 2 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 0 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a medium-likelihood area has a 22–57% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 41 m above sea level and falls 33 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the east, 11.1 m higher.
Because properties in the medium likelihood band; 497 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around PO33 4RN. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 85 warnings nearby) · Henk (2024, 11 warnings nearby) · Fergus (2023, 9 warnings nearby) · Conall (2024, 7 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHIDE GS | — | 3.7 km | — | — |
| Hunny Hill | Lukely Brook | 3.8 km | 3.30 m | 3.55 m |
| Carisbrook Mill | Lukely Brook | 4.4 km | 0.38 m | 0.81 m |
| CARISBROOKE GS | — | 4.5 km | — | — |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mill Square Wootton Cso | Wootton Creek | 2.0 km | 50 (2024) | 230 |
| Kite Hill Wootton Ceo | The Wootton Creek | 2.1 km | 33 (2024) | 284 |
| New Road Wootton Ceo | Wootton Creek | 2.1 km | 45 (2024) | 217 |
| Barge Lane Wootton Bridge 5 Cso | The Solent | 2.2 km | 66 (2024) | 523 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near PO33 4RN — all in the PO33 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the PO33 district.