Careby, Lincolnshire
Up to Low likelihood
Properties in PE9 4EA sit in the Environment Agency's Low flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 1 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a low-likelihood area has a 2–22% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 42 m above sea level and falls 31 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the west, 5.4 m higher.
Because properties in the low likelihood band; 2 recorded floods nearby; 95 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around PE9 4EA. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1998 | LNA_1998_April_River West Glen | ~1.8 km |
| Apr 1998 | LNA_1998_April_River Welland | ~19.5 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
Henk (2024, 5 warnings nearby) · 2007 UK floods (2007, 4 warnings nearby) · Christoph (2021, 2 warnings nearby) · Babet (2023, 2 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Bytham | River Tham | 1.7 km | 0.49 m | 0.80 m |
| Castle Bytham | River Tham | 3.9 km | 0.99 m | 1.75 m |
| RYHALL PS | — | 6.0 km | — | — |
| BELMESTHORPE GS GSM | — | 6.4 km | — | — |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Bytham - Station Road Cso | West Glen | 1.6 km | 147 (2024) | 3,076 |
| Little Bytham Stw | Tributary West Glen River | 2.2 km | 137 (2024) | 1,972 |
| Creeton Pumping Station | Tributary Of The West Glen Rir | 3.5 km | 15 (2024) | 217 |
| Manthorpe Stw | East Glen River | 4.3 km | 179 (2024) | 884 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near PE9 4EA — all in the PE9 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Place names: Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the PE9 district.