Up to Low likelihood
Properties in OX9 3AA sit in the Environment Agency's Low flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 2 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a low-likelihood area has a 2–22% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 64 m above sea level and falls 12 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the south-south-west, 4.0 m higher.
Because properties in the low likelihood band; 2 recorded floods nearby; 147 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around OX9 3AA. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2013 | Winter 2013/2014 | ~23.3 km |
| Jan 1992 | 06SeptemberAutumn1992 | ~1.7 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 2 warnings nearby) · Bram (2025, 1 warnings nearby) · Herminia (2025, 1 warnings nearby) · Bert (2024, 1 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thame Bridge | River Thame | 0.2 km | 2.25 m | 2.99 m |
| Cuddington | River Thame | 5.6 km | 2.09 m | 2.59 m |
| Wheatley | River Thame | 9.2 km | 5.75 m | 6.11 m |
| Aylesbury Thame | River Thame | 12.0 km | 1.90 m | 2.51 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thame Wastewater Treatment Works | Lashlake Stream | 1.0 km | 105 (2024) | 1,608 |
| Long Crendon Wwtw | Crendon Stream | 2.0 km | 19 (2024) | 84 |
| Shabbington Wwtw | Shabbington Brook | 4.2 km | 67 (2024) | 998 |
| Haddenham Wwtw | Scotsgrove Brook | 4.3 km | 76 (2024) | 1,445 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
8 mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m — nearest ~87 m (natural high ground). Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near OX9 3AA — all in the OX9 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the OX9 district.