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Does LA5 9XT flood?

Carnforth, Lancashire

Up to Low likelihood

Properties in LA5 9XT sit in the Environment Agency's Low flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.

Likelihood bandAnnual chancePropertiesOf which homes
Highgreater than 3.3%00
Medium1% – 3.3%00
Low0.1% – 1%10
Very lowbelow 0.1%00

Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a low-likelihood area has a 2–22% chance of flooding at least once.

The ground around LA5 9XT

The ground here sits at about 18 m above sea level and falls 40 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the west, 6.7 m higher.

Shaded relief map of the ground around LA59XT, computed from Environment Agency LiDAR. The ground here sits at about 18 m above sea level and falls 40 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the west, 6.7 m higher.
Shaded relief of the bare ground within about 400 m of LA5 9XT, computed from the Environment Agency's published LiDAR terrain survey. The ring marks the postcode centre, not a property. This shows the shape of the land, not a flood map — it does not include drains, culverts, walls or kerbs, and the official likelihood band above is the authoritative figure. © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2022. All rights reserved.
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Get the full flood report for LA5 9XT — £19 Free preview first · instant access · no account needed The detail below — flood history, warnings, rivers, overflows — is part of FloodRadar's property flood-risk report. The official band above is free; the preview shows more before you decide.

Inside the full report for LA5 9XT

FloodRadarProperty Flood-Risk Report
LA5 9XT
Moderate flood risk — investigate further

Because properties in the low likelihood band; 6 recorded floods nearby; 160 official warnings since 2006.

C Today — indicative grade (A best → E)
··· By the 2050s — EA climate scenario (in the full report)
⚑ Official warning within 10 km: Yes ⚑ Recorded flood nearby: Yes ⚑ Flood defences within 500 m: Yes ⚑ In flood zone 2 or 3: ···
Rivers & sea
Up to Low
Surface water
···
Groundwater
Not assessed
Historic flooding
Recorded nearby
Warning history · flood map with building picker · 2050s view · insurance outlook · every dataset receipt — 18 sections

Flood-risk map of this area

Environment Agency flood-likelihood cells
High (>3.3%/yr) Medium Low Very low Marker = postcode centre Base map © OpenStreetMap contributors

The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around LA5 9XT. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.

Official flood warnings near LA5 9XT

160
flood alerts & warnings within 10 km since 2006
21
of them full flood warnings or severe warnings
2026
most recent warning nearby (2026-03-24)

Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.

Recorded floods near this postcode

DateRecorded floodApprox. distance
Nov 2017 Midland Terrace ~1.0 km
Dec 2015 River Keer ~1.0 km
Dec 2015 Warton ~1.2 km
Dec 2015 Carlisle Terrace, Carnforth ~1.0 km
Dec 2015 Kellet Road, Carnforth ~0.7 km
Dec 2015 Market Street, Carnforth ~0.8 km

EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.

Named storms that brought flooding here

2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 14 warnings nearby) · Desmond (2015, 5 warnings nearby) · Eleanor (2018, 4 warnings nearby) · Ciara (2020, 3 warnings nearby)

The rivers that matter for LA5 9XT

GaugeRiverDistanceTypical highHighest on record
High River Keer River Keer 1.9 km 0.90 m 2.93 m
Caton River Lune 6.0 km 3.60 m 8.17 m
Hornby River Wenning 8.2 km 1.80 m 2.78 m
Wray River Hindburn 10.2 km 1.50 m 2.96 m

Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.

Storm overflows within 5 km

OverflowDischarges intoDistanceSpillsHours
Fairfield Rd Russell Rd Cso 25026 Clvrt Back Lane / Kellet Rd 0.9 km 0 (2024) 0
Gardner Road Pumping Station River Keer 0.9 km 12 (2024) 3
Hagg Lane Midland Terrace Ps River Keer 1.1 km 22 (2024) 59
Over Kellet Wwtw Trib River Keer 1.1 km 156 (2024) 1,907

Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.

Flood defences

22 mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m — nearest ~98 m (natural high ground). Defences reduce risk, never remove it.

What the full property report adds

The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.

Flood risk at nearby postcodes

LA5 9AL up to Medium LA5 9AQ up to Medium LA5 9AS up to Low LA5 9BH up to High LA5 9EF up to Low LA5 9EL up to Low LA5 9EU up to High LA5 9EY up to High LA5 9EZ up to High LA5 9FA up to High LA5 9FH up to High LA5 9GX up to Very low

At-risk postcodes near LA5 9XT — all in the LA5 district.

© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Place names: Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the LA5 district.