Quernmore, Lancashire
Up to Low likelihood
Properties in LA2 9EF sit in the Environment Agency's Low flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 2 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a low-likelihood area has a 2–22% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 78 m above sea level and falls 67 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the east-south-east, 35.5 m higher.
Because properties in the low likelihood band; 415 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around LA2 9EF. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 31 warnings nearby) · Ashley (2024, 14 warnings nearby) · Desmond (2015, 8 warnings nearby) · Lilian (2024, 7 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burrow Beck | Burrow Beck | 3.0 km | 0.53 m | 0.99 m |
| Stoney Lane | Whitley Beck | 5.1 km | 0.50 m | 1.09 m |
| Galgate | River Conder | 5.2 km | 1.70 m | 2.89 m |
| Caton | River Lune | 6.1 km | 3.60 m | 8.17 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosemary Lane Cso 252pg | Mill Race | 4.6 km | 6 (2024) | 2 |
| Bulk Road Cso 25097 | River Lune Est (via Mill Race) | 4.6 km | 11 (2024) | 27 |
| Cable Street Cso 251h9 | Lune Estuary | 4.9 km | 11 (2024) | 17 |
| Owen Road Combined Sewer Overflow | River Lune Estuary | 4.9 km | 8 (2024) | 3 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near LA2 9EF — all in the LA2 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Place names: Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the LA2 district.