Up to High likelihood
Properties in CA15 8RP sit in the Environment Agency's High flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 12 | 3 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 10 | 5 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 10 | 7 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a high-likelihood area has at least a 57% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 7 m above sea level and falls 35 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the east, 7.6 m higher.
Because properties in the high likelihood band; 5 recorded floods nearby; 185 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around CA15 8RP. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2020 | Storm Ciara 09_02_2020 | ~39.7 km |
| Dec 2015 | Flimby 05_12_2015 | ~0.6 km |
| Feb 2002 | Flooding 01_02_2002 | ~26.8 km |
| Feb 1997 | Flooding 01_02_1997 | ~24.3 km |
| Jan 1967 | Parton 01_01_1967 | ~12.5 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 16 warnings nearby) · Ashley (2024, 6 warnings nearby) · Eunice (2022, 4 warnings nearby) · Eleanor (2018, 4 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seaton Mill, Barepot, Workington | River Derwent | 3.9 km | 1.50 m | 2.67 m |
| Harrington Eadie Street | Wyre River | 8.3 km | 1.10 m | 1.85 m |
| Bull Gill | River Ellen | 9.3 km | 1.50 m | 2.51 m |
| Kingfisher, Cockermouth | River Derwent | 10.2 km | 1.50 m | 4.54 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington Wwtw | Irish Sea | 2.0 km | 152 (2024) | 1,001 |
| Lowca Lane Hazel Grove Cso | Ling Beck | 2.5 km | 82 (2024) | 383 |
| Maryport Sewage Pumping Station | Irish Sea | 3.0 km | 19 (2024) | 152 |
| Camerton Ww Pumping Station | River Derwent | 3.4 km | 26 (2024) | 73 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near CA15 8RP — all in the CA15 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the CA15 district.