Up to Low likelihood
Properties in CA11 9RX sit in the Environment Agency's Low flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 2 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a low-likelihood area has a 2–22% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 123 m above sea level and falls 32 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the west-north-west, 3.6 m higher.
Because properties in the low likelihood band; 6 recorded floods nearby; 175 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around CA11 9RX. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2020 | Storm Ciara 09_02_2020 | ~24.7 km |
| Feb 2020 | Storm Ciara Calthwaite 09-02-2020 | ~1.2 km |
| Jul 2002 | Flooding 30_07_2002 | ~8.9 km |
| Feb 2002 | Flooding 01_02_2002 | ~46.0 km |
| Oct 2000 | Flooding 28_10_2000 | ~9.5 km |
| Jan 1999 | Flooding 05_01_1999b | ~41.5 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
2013-14 UK winter floods (2013, 5 warnings nearby) · Desmond (2015, 4 warnings nearby) · 2007 UK floods (2007, 2 warnings nearby) · Amy (2025, 1 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| White House Gardens, Penrith | Thacka Beck | 10.7 km | 0.90 m | 1.51 m |
| Stockdalewath | Roe Beck | 10.9 km | 1.00 m | 3.31 m |
| Eamont Bridge Farm | River Eamont | 11.8 km | 1.70 m | 3.38 m |
| Eamont Bridge | River Lowther | 12.1 km | 1.80 m | 2.93 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plumpton North Wwtw Plumn | River Petteril | 2.5 km | 16 (2024) | 107 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near CA11 9RX — all in the CA11 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the CA11 district.