Market Rasen, Lincolnshire
Up to Medium likelihood
Properties in LN8 3RD sit in the Environment Agency's Medium flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 6 | 6 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 33 | 31 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 5 | 5 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a medium-likelihood area has a 22–57% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 26 m above sea level and falls 8 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the east-south-east, 4.5 m higher.
Because properties in the medium likelihood band; 5 recorded floods nearby; 106 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around LN8 3RD. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2025 | LNA_2025_01_Fluvial_Rase | ~0.6 km |
| Oct 2023 | LNA_2023_10_Fluvial_Rase and Bishopsbridge | ~0.3 km |
| Feb 2020 | 2020 February Flood Incident - Storm Dennis | ~59.5 km |
| Feb 2020 | 2020 February Flood Incident - Storm Ciara | ~63.4 km |
| Nov 2019 | LNA_2019_11_November_River Rase | ~1.0 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
2007 UK floods (2007, 10 warnings nearby) · Babet (2023, 3 warnings nearby) · Chandra (2026, 1 warnings nearby) · Bram (2025, 1 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Rasen | River Rase | 0.8 km | 0.90 m | 1.39 m |
| Bishopbridge | River Rase | 8.8 km | 0.97 m | 2.23 m |
| Brandy Wharf | River Ancholme | 13.2 km | 1.35 m | 2.47 m |
| Langworth | Barlings Eau | 13.4 km | 2.41 m | 3.55 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caistor Road Sws | River Rase | 1.2 km | 21 (2024) | 77 |
| Gallamore Road Ps | The River Rase | 1.7 km | 0 (2024) | 0 |
| Tealby Stw | River Rase | 3.7 km | 48 (2024) | 406 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
20 mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m — nearest ~190 m (natural high ground, embankment, engineered high ground, spillway). Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near LN8 3RD — all in the LN8 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Place names: Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the LN8 district.