Up to Medium likelihood
Properties in LN2 5EA sit in the Environment Agency's Medium flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 12 | 12 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 0 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a medium-likelihood area has a 22–57% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 4 m above sea level and falls 40 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the north-east, 37.3 m higher.
Because properties in the medium likelihood band; 6 recorded floods nearby; 147 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around LN2 5EA. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2025 | LNA_2025_01_Fluvial_Lincoln | ~0.2 km |
| Jan 2025 | LNA_2025_01_Fluvial_South_Delph | ~1.3 km |
| Jan 2024 | LNA_2024_01_Fluvial_South Delph | ~0.9 km |
| Jan 2024 | LNA_2024_01_Fluvial_River Witham and South Delph | ~0.8 km |
| Oct 2023 | LNA_2023_10_Fluvial_South Delph | ~0.8 km |
| Oct 2023 | LNA_2023_10_Fluvial_Upper River Witham | ~0.6 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
2007 UK floods (2007, 14 warnings nearby) · Babet (2023, 6 warnings nearby) · Henk (2024, 5 warnings nearby) · Christoph (2021, 2 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Monson Street | Sincil Dyke | 1.3 km | 2.96 m | 3.28 m |
| Brayford Pool | River Witham | 1.5 km | 0.79 m | 1.36 m |
| SEWELLS WALK LINCOLN GS | — | 1.5 km | — | — |
| Fosdyke Jetty | Fosdyke Canal | 2.1 km | 1.90 m | 2.43 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Sincil Bank Combined Sew Ov | Sincil Dyke | 1.1 km | 3 (2024) | 1 |
| Canwick Water Recycling Centre | The South Delph | 1.3 km | 29 (2024) | 392 |
| Lincoln Brayford Way Ps | Brayford Pool | 1.5 km | 7 (2024) | 8 |
| Lincoln Outer Circle Road Cso | Greetwell Beck | 1.8 km | 2 (2024) | 1 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
36 mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m — nearest ~167 m (natural high ground, embankment, wall, bridge abutment). Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near LN2 5EA — all in the LN2 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the LN2 district.