Market Harborough, Leicestershire
Up to Very low likelihood
Properties in LE16 8AJ sit in the Environment Agency's Very low flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 0 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 6 | 6 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a very low-likelihood area has less than a 3% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 77 m above sea level and falls 34 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the south-east, 13.0 m higher.
Because properties in the very low likelihood band; 3 recorded floods nearby; 11 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around LE16 8AJ. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2007 | LNA_2007_March_West Brook_Little Bowden | ~0.7 km |
| Apr 1998 | LNA_1998_April_River Nene_d/s Northampton | ~24.1 km |
| Mar 1947 | LNA_1947_March_River Nene_d/s Northampton | ~24.9 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
Bert (2024, 2 warnings nearby) · Henk (2024, 1 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIVER JORDAN GS | — | 0.5 km | — | — |
| Little Bowden | River Jordan | 0.5 km | 0.76 m | 1.81 m |
| Market Harborough | River Welland | 1.0 km | 0.96 m | 2.03 m |
| Medbourne | Medbourne Brook | 8.7 km | 0.29 m | 1.22 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Harborough South Cso | River Welland | 0.3 km | 30 (2024) | 163 |
| Market Harborough-riverside Road | River Welland | 0.3 km | 21 (2024) | 224 |
| Market Harborough-riverside Road | River Welland Nt | 2.3 km | 65 (2024) | 932 |
| Braybrooke Water Recycling Centre | R.jordan River Welland Nt | 3.1 km | 28 (2024) | 309 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
41 mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m — nearest ~171 m (engineered high ground, embankment, wall). Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near LE16 8AJ — all in the LE16 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Place names: Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database rights 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the LE16 district.