Up to Medium likelihood
Properties in CA10 3RX sit in the Environment Agency's Medium flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 2 | 1 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 2 | 1 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a medium-likelihood area has a 22–57% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 233 m above sea level and falls 20 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the west, 15.9 m higher.
Because properties in the medium likelihood band; 2 recorded floods nearby.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around CA10 3RX. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
| Date | Recorded flood | Approx. distance |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2020 | Storm Ciara 09_02_2020 | ~12.5 km |
| Feb 2020 | B6261 Storm Ciara 09_02_2020 | ~0.7 km |
EA Recorded Flood Outlines — absence of a record never proves a place has not flooded. The full report tests whether any extent covered the exact spot.
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lunes Bridge | River Lune | 5.3 km | 2.70 m | 5.62 m |
| Burnbanks | Haweswater Beck | 13.9 km | 1.00 m | 1.44 m |
| Appleby | River Eden | 13.9 km | 1.80 m | 4.72 m |
| Bampton Grange | River Lowther | 14.3 km | 1.80 m | 2.50 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orton Stw | Chapel Beck | 0.8 km | 64 (2024) | 678 |
| Orton Stw | Chapel Beck | 0.8 km | 155 (2024) | 2,901 |
| Tebay Pumping Station | River Lune | 2.9 km | 84 (2024) | 961 |
| Galloper Pool Ps | Galloper Pool | 3.5 km | 107 (2024) | 98 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near CA10 3RX — all in the CA10 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the CA10 district.