Up to High likelihood
Properties in BB11 5ST sit in the Environment Agency's High flood-likelihood band (worst property). The band is the worst found in the postcode — it describes the land around properties (defence-adjusted, rivers & sea), not any single address, and not today's conditions.
| Likelihood band | Annual chance | Properties | Of which homes |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | greater than 3.3% | 1 | 0 |
| Medium | 1% – 3.3% | 0 | 0 |
| Low | 0.1% – 1% | 0 | 0 |
| Very low | below 0.1% | 0 | 0 |
Over a 25-year mortgage, a property in a high-likelihood area has at least a 57% chance of flooding at least once.
The ground here sits at about 154 m above sea level and falls 51 m across the surrounding 800 m. Surface water reaching this point runs off ground lying to the south-west, 5.9 m higher.
Because properties in the high likelihood band; 168 official warnings since 2006.
The map above shows the real EA rivers & sea likelihood cells around BB11 5ST. The small panels are illustrative previews of the report's per-layer map views — the full report draws each layer for real, plus recorded extents, defences and a building picker on an interactive map.
Warnings cover flood areas, not individual addresses.
Ciara (2020, 17 warnings nearby) · Brian (2017, 6 warnings nearby) · Bert (2024, 6 warnings nearby) · Dennis (2020, 4 warnings nearby)
| Gauge | River | Distance | Typical high | Highest on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dryden Street | Shaw Brook Tributary | 1.7 km | 1.26 m | 1.56 m |
| Padiham Town Centre | River Calder | 2.5 km | 2.57 m | 3.45 m |
| Active Way | River Calder | 3.4 km | 1.50 m | 2.00 m |
| Oxford Road | River Calder | 4.2 km | 1.20 m | 1.87 m |
Live levels, predictions and rain-response behaviour are on each gauge's page and in the property report.
| Overflow | Discharges into | Distance | Spills | Hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In Front Of No.19 Bear Street Cso | Sweet Clough Trib Green Brook | 1.4 km | 3 (2024) | 3 |
| Liverpool Road Cso (088nf) | River Calder | 1.9 km | 0 (2024) | 0 |
| Levant Mill Footbridge Cso (o82cv) | Green Brook | 2.1 km | 0 (2024) | 0 |
| Stockbridge Road Cso (bur0038) | Green Brook | 2.1 km | 1 (2024) | 0 |
Official annual EDM figures — a water-quality signal for local watercourses, not a property flood-risk factor.
No mapped flood-defence assets within 500 m of the postcode centre. Defences reduce risk, never remove it.
The interactive flood-risk map with a building picker (your exact house, not the postcode), the 2050s climate view, surface-water and planning flood zones at your building, exact recorded-flood distances, year-by-year warning charts, watercourses including culverted streams, an insurance outlook with the Flood Re rules, and a printable document with every dataset receipt — start with the free preview, unlock for £19.
At-risk postcodes near BB11 5ST — all in the BB11 district.
© Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. All rights reserved. Some features of this map are based on digital spatial data from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, © NERC (CEH). © Crown Copyright and Database Rights 2025 OS AC0000807064. This product is produced in part from PAF® and Multiple Residence Data, the copyright in which is owned by Royal Mail Group Limited and/or Royal Mail Group plc. All rights reserved. Licence number AC0000807064. Recorded Flood Outlines and warning history © Environment Agency copyright and/or database right 2025. Storm-overflow figures: EA Event Duration Monitoring. Flood defences © Environment Agency (OGL v3). This page summarises public area-level data — it is not a flood-risk survey and not a substitute for the official GOV.UK service. All data sources & licences. More postcodes: the BB11 district.